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BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Rick Kenyon (Yale)
DTSTART:20200417T170000Z
DTEND:20200417T180000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/1
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 1/">Gradient models and kappa-harmonic functions</a>\nby Rick Kenyon (Yale
 ) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThis is joint
  work with Istvan Prause. \nWe discuss random height models h:R^2 -> R and
  their associated limit shapes. A gradient model is one whose surface tens
 ion only depends on slope. Examples include the 6- and 8-vertex model and 
 FK-percolation models\, among many others. We show that limit shapes for s
 uch a model can be explicitly parameterized using kappa-harmonic functions
 \, that is\, solutions to the laplacian equation with spatially varying co
 nductance kappa=kappa(x\,y). Here kappa is the square root of the Hessian 
 determinant of the surface tension.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/1/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Remi Rhodes (Aix-Marseille)
DTSTART:20200424T150000Z
DTEND:20200424T160000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/2
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 2/">Conformal Bootstrap in Liouville theory</a>\nby Remi Rhodes (Aix-Marse
 ille) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nLiouville
  conformal field theory (denoted LCFT) is a 2-dimensional conformal field 
 theory depending on a parameter $\\gamma\\in\\R$ and studied since the eig
 hties in theoretical physics. In the case of the theory on the Riemann sph
 ere\, physicists proposed closed formulae for the n-point correlation func
 tions using symmetries and representation theory\, called the DOZZ formula
  (when n=3) and the conformal bootstrap (for n>3). A probabilistic constru
 ction of LCFT was recently proposed by David-Kupiainen-Rhodes-Vargas for $
 \\gamma \\in (0\,2]$ and the last three authors later proved the DOZZ form
 ula. In this talk I will present a proof of equivalence between the probab
 ilistic and the bootstrap construction (proposed in physics) for the n poi
 nt correlation functions with n greater or equal to 4\, valid for $\\gamma
 \\in (0\,1)$. Our proof combines the analysis of a natural semi-group\, to
 ols from scattering theory and the use of Virasoro algebra in the context 
 of the probabilistic approach (the so-called conformal Ward identities).\n
 \nBased on joint work with C. Guillarmou\, A. Kupiainen and V. Vargas.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/2/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Ken Alexander (USC)
DTSTART:20200501T160000Z
DTEND:20200501T170000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/3
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 3/">Geodesics\, bigeodesics\, and coalescence in first passage percolation
  in general dimension</a>\nby Ken Alexander (USC) as part of Probability a
 nd the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nIn first passage percolation (FPP) on $
 \\mathbb{Z}^d$\, i.i.d.~(bond) passage times are attached to the nearest-n
 eighbor bonds of the lattice\, and the passage time from $x$ to $y$ is the
  shortest sum of bond passage times among all possible paths from $x$ to $
 y$\; the corresponding minimizing path is called a geodesic. One can also 
 consider geodesic rays and bigeodesics\, which are one-ended and two-ended
  infinite paths for which every finite segment is a geodesic\; a $\\theta$
 -ray is a geodesic ray with asymptotic direction $\\theta$. The conjecture
 d picture\, partly verified for $d=2$ under assumptions of various strengt
 hs\, is that for a given $\\theta$\, there is a.s.~a unique $\\theta$--ray
  from each lattice site\, and any two $\\theta$--rays eventually coalesce\
 , though there is a random null set of directions for which this fails\; b
 igeodesics a.s.~do not exist at all. Here we establish portions of this he
 uristic picture in higher dimensions (where few results currently exist)\,
  at least under the assumption that certain very basic but unproven proper
 ties of FPP are valid. We establish a coalescence-like property: taking al
 l the $\\theta$--rays starting next to a given hyperplane\, and looking at
  the set of points where they cross another hyperplane some distance $r$ a
 head of the starting one\, we show that the geodesics bundle together in t
 he sense that the density of the crossing points approaches 0 (at a near-s
 harp rate) as $r\\to\\infty$. This bundling property also holds if we cons
 ider together all $\\theta$--rays over a narrow range of directions $\\the
 ta$\, and this fact leads to proof of the absence of bigeodesics. In $d=2$
 \, bundling can be used to bound the probability that two $\\theta$--rays 
 do not coalesce before traveling a distance $r$.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/3/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Dima Ioffe (Technion)
DTSTART:20200508T140000Z
DTEND:20200508T150000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/4
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 4/">Uphill diffusions via phase transitions.</a>\nby Dima Ioffe (Technion)
  as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nUphill diffusi
 ons is an umbrella name for a variety of phenomena when stationary particl
 e current goes from low density to high density\, in an ostensible violati
 on of Fick's first law. In this talk I shall present an ongoing joint proj
 ect with Anna De Masi\, Titti Merola and Errico Presutti\, where uphill di
 ffusions are uncovered and described in the context of two dimensional sto
 chastic phase-field models - a dynamically coupled Ginsburg Landau model a
 nd Ising model in the phase transition regime.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/4/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Allan Sly (Princeton)
DTSTART:20200515T150000Z
DTEND:20200515T160000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/5
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 5/">Critical One-dimensional Multi-particle DLA</a>\nby Allan Sly (Princet
 on) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nIn multi-pa
 rticle Diffusion Limited Aggregation (DLA) a sea of particles perform inde
 pendent random walks until they run into the aggregate and are absorbed.  
 In dimension 1\, the rate of growth of the aggregate depends on  lambda\, 
 the density of the particles.  Kesten and Sidoravicius proved that when $\
 \lambda <1$ the aggregate grows like $t^{1/2}$.  They furthermore predicte
 d linear growth when $\\lambda > 1$ (subsequently confirmed) and $t^{2/3}$
  growth at the critical density $\\lambda =1$. \n\nIn this talk we address
  the critical case\, confirming the $t^{2/3}$ rate of growth and show that
  aggregate has a scaling limit whose derivative is a self-similar diffusio
 n process.  Surprisingly this contradicts conjectures on the speed in the 
 mildly supercritical regime when $\\lambda = 1 + \\epsilon$.\n\nJoint work
  with Danny Nam and Dor Elboim\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/5/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Scott Sheffield (MIT)
DTSTART:20200529T150000Z
DTEND:20200529T160000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/6
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 6/">Probability and pandemics</a>\nby Scott Sheffield (MIT) as part of Pro
 bability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nIn one of the simplest epidem
 ic models\, one lets $p_n$ denote the number of new infections during week
  $n$ and assumes that (during the early stages of the epidemic) $p_{n+1} =
  R_0 p_n c_n$ where $c_n$ measures the "fraction of usual contact" that ta
 kes place between people during the nth week. Within this simplistic model
 \, intermittent strategies (taking $c_n$ small some weeks and large other 
 weeks) lead to lower infection rates than consistent strategies with the s
 ame total amount of contact.\n\nBut what happens if one considers a more r
 ealistic disease model (such as a SEIR model with multiple compartments\, 
 or a network-based model\, with empirically based distributions for incuba
 tion and infection times) and also tries to assign utility to the amount o
 f contact in a more realistic way (accounting for crowding\, social networ
 king and other issues)? What factors cause intermittent strategies to outp
 erform constant strategies? I will discuss a health policy paper I recentl
 y co-authored with a team of public health researchers that explores this 
 question for a range of simple examples.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/6/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Reza Gheissari (U.C. Berkeley)
DTSTART:20200619T170000Z
DTEND:20200619T180000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/7
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 7/">Cube-root fluctuations and Tracy--Widom tails in critically pre-wetted
  Ising interfaces</a>\nby Reza Gheissari (U.C. Berkeley) as part of Probab
 ility and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nConsider the 2D Ising model at l
 ow temperature on an $N\\times N$ box with minus boundary conditions on th
 e bottom and plus boundary conditions on the other three sides\, in the pr
 esence of an external field $\\lambda \\ge 0$. Velenik (2004) proved that 
 in the \\emph{critical pre-wetting} regime of $\\lambda_N \\sim c/N$\, the
  area confined by the interface is $N^{\\frac{4}{3}+o(1)}$. Since then mor
 e refined features of such interfaces---which have been conjectured to con
 verge to the Ferrari--Spohn diffusion in critically sized $N^{2/3}\\times 
 N^{1/3}$ windows--- have only been proven for approximations given by rand
 om walks under area tilts. \n\nI will discuss recent work with Shirshendu 
 Ganguly obtaining a more refined understanding of the local and global geo
 metry of the Ising interface in the critical pre-wetting regime. As part o
 f this\, we find that its height fluctuations are truly of order $N^{1/3}$
 \, and when they are rescaled by $N^{-1/3}$ they have $\\exp( - \\Theta(x^
 {3/2}))$ right tails reminiscent of the Tracy--Widom distribution.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/7/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Fabio Toninelli (Vienna)
DTSTART:20200626T140000Z
DTEND:20200626T150000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/8
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 8/">The stationary (2+1)-dimensional AKPZ equation</a>\nby Fabio Toninelli
  (Vienna) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe A
 KPZ equation is an anisotropic variant of the celebrated (two-dimensional)
  KPZ stochastic PDE\, which is expected to describe the large-scale behavi
 or of (2+1)-dimensional growth models whose average speed of growth is a n
 on-convex function of the average slope (AKPZ universality class). Several
  interacting particle systems belonging to the AKPZ class are known\, nota
 bly a class of two-dimensional interlaced particle systems introduced by A
 . Borodin and P. Ferrari.\n\nIn the physics literature\, the AKPZ equation
  was conjectured to have the same large-scale behavior as the stochastic h
 eat equation with additive noise (2d-SHE). In this talk\, I will show that
  this is not really true: in fact\, the stationary equation is not invaria
 nt under diffusive rescaling (as the 2d-SHE is)\, not even asymptotically 
 on large scales\, and logarithmic corrections in the scaling are needed in
 stead. [Based on joint work with G. Cannizzaro and D. Erhard]\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/8/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Sarah Penington (Bath)
DTSTART:20201016T163000Z
DTEND:20201016T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/10
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 10/">Brownian bees in the infinite swarm limit</a>\nby Sarah Penington (Ba
 th) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nConsider a 
 system of $N$ particles moving according to Brownian motions and branching
  at rate one. Each time a particle branches\, the particle in the system f
 urthest from the origin is killed. The large $N$ and large time behaviour 
 of the system is related to solutions of a novel non-linear free boundary 
 partial differential equation. Based on joint work with Julien Berestycki\
 , Éric Brunet and Jim Nolen.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/10/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Jeremy Quastel (Toronto)
DTSTART:20201023T163000Z
DTEND:20201023T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/11
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 11/">Convergence of finite range exclusions and KPZ equation to the KPZ fi
 xed point</a>\nby Jeremy Quastel (Toronto) as part of Probability and the 
 City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe will describe a method of comparison with T
 ASEP which proves that both the KPZ equation and finite range exclusion mo
 dels converge to the KPZ fixed point.  For the KPZ equation and the neares
 t neighbour exclusion\, the initial data is allowed to be a continuous fun
 ction plus a finite number of narrow wedges\, but for non-nearest neighbou
 r exclusions\, one needs at the present time some randomization of the ini
 tial data.  We will give a little background\, but the talk will mostly be
  about the proof.  Joint work with Sourav Sarkar.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/11/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Nicolas Perkowski (Freie Universität Berlin)
DTSTART:20201030T163000Z
DTEND:20201030T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/12
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 12/">Mass asymptotics for the 2d parabolic Anderson model with space white
  noise potential</a>\nby Nicolas Perkowski (Freie Universität Berlin) as 
 part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe study the long 
 time behavior of the total mass of the 2d parabolic Anderson model (PAM) w
 ith white noise potential\, which is the universal scaling limit of 2d bra
 nching random walks in small random environments. There are several known 
 results on the long time behavior of the PAM for more regular potentials\,
  but the 2d white noise is very singular and it requires renormalization t
 echniques. In particular\, the Feynman-Kac representation\, usually the ma
 in tool for deriving asymptotics\, breaks down. To overcome this problem w
 e use a measure transform and we introduce a new "partial Feynman-Kac repr
 esentation“. The new representation is based on a diffusion with distrib
 utional drift\, and we derive Gaussian heat kernel bounds for such diffusi
 ons. Based on joint works with Wolfgang König and Willem van Zuijlen.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/12/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Sylvia Serfaty (NYU Courant)
DTSTART:20201204T173000Z
DTEND:20201204T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/13
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 13/">Microscopic description of Coulomb gases</a>\nby Sylvia Serfaty (NYU 
 Courant) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe are
  interested in the statistical mechanics of systems of N points with Coulo
 mb interactions in general dimension for a broad temperature range.\nWe di
 scuss local laws characterizing the rigidity of the system at the microsco
 pic level\, as well as free energy expansion and Central Limit Theorems fo
 r fluctuations.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/13/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Michael Damron (Georgia Tech)
DTSTART:20201211T173000Z
DTEND:20201211T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/14
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 14/">Critical first-passage percolation in two dimensions</a>\nby Michael 
 Damron (Georgia Tech) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbs
 tract\nIn 2d first-passage percolation (FPP)\, we place nonnegative i.i.d.
  weights (t_e) on the edges of Z^2 and study the induced weighted graph ps
 eudometric T = T(x\,y) If we denote by p = P(t_e = 0)\, then there is a tr
 ansition in the large-scale behavior of the model as p varies from 0 to 1.
  When p < 1/2\, T(0\,x) grows linearly in x\, and when p > 1/2\, it is sto
 chastically bounded. The critical case\, where p = 1/2\, is more subtle\, 
 and the sublinear growth of T(0\,x) depends on the behavior of the distrib
 ution function of t_e near zero. I will discuss my work over the past few 
 years that (a) determines the exact rate of growth of T(0\,x)\, (b) determ
 ines the "time constant" for the site-FPP model on the triangular lattice 
 and\, more recently (c) studies the growth of T(0\,x) in a dynamical versi
 on of the model\, where weights are resampled according to independent exp
 onential clocks. These are joint works with J. Hanson\, D. Harper\, W.-K. 
 Lam\, P. Tang\, and X. Wang.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/14/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Jean-François Le Gall (Paris-Saclay)
DTSTART:20201106T173000Z
DTEND:20201106T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/20
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 20/">Compact and non-compact models of random geometry</a>\nby Jean-Franç
 ois Le Gall (Paris-Saclay) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n
 \nAbstract\nWe discuss various models of random geometry that arise as sca
 ling   limits of large planar graphs embedded in the 2-sphere (also called
     planar maps).     The most popular compact models are the Brownian sph
 ere or Brownian    map\,     and the Brownian disk\, which is the scaling 
 limit of planar maps    with a    boundary. We explain how Brownian disks 
 can be viewed as connected     components of the complement of balls in th
 e Brownian sphere\, and    we discuss a remarkable growth-fragmentation pr
 ocess that describes    the    evolution of the boundary sizes of these co
 mponents when the radius    of the ball increases. We also introduce the n
 on-compact models    called    the Brownian plane\, the infinite Brownian 
 disk and the Brownian    half-plane\,    and we present a unified construc
 tion of these three models based on        a spine decomposition. Most of 
 the talk is based on joint work with    Armand Riera.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/20/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Juhan Aru (EPFL Lausanne)
DTSTART:20201113T173000Z
DTEND:20201113T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/21
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 21/">Imaginary multiplicative chaos: different questions from different co
 ntexts\, and a few answers too</a>\nby Juhan Aru (EPFL Lausanne) as part o
 f Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nImaginary multiplicative
  chaos is formally given by exp(iG)\, where G is a log-correlated Gaussian
  field in d dimensions.\nIt comes up in several different contexts. For ex
 ample\n- as a analytic continuation of the real multiplicative chaos\, tha
 t is central in the probabilistic study of Liouville quantum gravity and L
 iouville CFT\;\n- when taking the continuum limit of the spin field for th
 e XOR-Ising model\;\n- in relation to the Kosterlitz-Thouless-type of phas
 e transitions.\nIn this talk I will try to explain how imaginary chaos com
 es up in these contexts\, which questions it brings along\, and how to ans
 wer some of these questions. \nThis is a joint work with J. Junnila\, and 
 also partly with A. Jego.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/21/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Andrew Ahn (MIT)
DTSTART:20201002T163000Z
DTEND:20201002T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/22
DESCRIPTION:by Andrew Ahn (MIT) as part of Probability and the City Semina
 r\n\nAbstract: TBA\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/22/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Elena Kosygina (Baruch College and the CUNY Graduate Center)
DTSTART:20210402T163000Z
DTEND:20210402T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/23
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 23/">From generalized Ray-Knight theorems to functional CLTs for some mode
 ls of self-interacting random walks on Z</a>\nby Elena Kosygina (Baruch Co
 llege and the CUNY Graduate Center) as part of Probability and the City Se
 minar\n\n\nAbstract\nIn several models of self-interacting random walks (S
 IRWs) on Z generalized Ray-Knight theorems for local times proved to be a 
 very useful tool for studying the limiting behavior of these walks. Exampl
 es include some reinforced random walks\, asymptotically free and polynomi
 ally self-repelling random walks\, excited random walks\, rotor walks with
  defects. I shall give an overview of some of these models and then concen
 trate on the joint work with Thomas Mountford (EPFL) and Jon Peterson (Pur
 due University) on the functional limit theorem for recurrent excited rand
 om walks with Markovian cookie stacks.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/23/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Nick Cook (Duke)
DTSTART:20210122T173000Z
DTEND:20210122T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/24
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 24/">Universality for the minimum modulus of random trigonometric polynomi
 als</a>\nby Nick Cook (Duke) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n
 \n\nAbstract\nWe consider the restriction to the unit circle of random deg
 ree-n polynomials with iid normalized coefficients (Kac polynomials). Rece
 nt work of Yakir and Zeitouni shows that for Gaussian coefficients\, the m
 inimum modulus (suitably rescaled) follows a limiting exponential distribu
 tion. We show this is a universal phenomenon\, extending their result to a
 rbitrary sub-Gaussian coefficients\, such as Rademacher signs. For discret
 e distributions we must now deal with possible arithmetic structure in the
  polynomial evaluated at different points of the circle. On "minor arcs" w
 e obtain strong comparisons with the Gaussian model by translating to a ra
 ndom walk in a high dimensional phase space\, and obtaining strong decay e
 stimates on characteristic functions\, while major arcs can be handled wit
 h cruder arguments. Based on joint work with Hoi Nguyen.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/24/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Michel Pain (NYU Courant)
DTSTART:20210129T173000Z
DTEND:20210129T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/25
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 25/">Optimal local law and central limit theorem for beta-ensembles</a>\nb
 y Michel Pain (NYU Courant) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\
 n\nAbstract\nIn this talk\, I will present a joint work with Paul Bourgade
  and Krishnan Mody. We consider beta-ensembles with general potentials (or
  equivalently a log-gas in dimension 1)\, which are a generalization of Ga
 ussian beta-ensembles and of classical invariant ensembles of random matri
 ces. We prove a multivariate central limit theorem for the logarithm of th
 e characteristic polynomial\, showing that it behaves as a log-correlated 
 field. A key ingredient is an optimally sharp local law for the the Stielj
 es transform of the empirical measure which can be of independent interest
 . Both the proofs of the CLT and the local law are based essentially on lo
 op equations techniques.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/25/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Christophe Garban (Lyon)
DTSTART:20210205T173000Z
DTEND:20210205T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/26
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 26/">Vortex fluctuations in continuous spin systems and lattice gauge theo
 ry</a>\nby Christophe Garban (Lyon) as part of Probability and the City Se
 minar\n\n\nAbstract\nTopological phase transitions were discovered by Bere
 zinskii-Kosterlitz-Thouless (BKT) in the 70's. They describe intriguing ph
 ase transitions for classical statistical physics models such as\n\n - the
  2d XY model (spins on Z^2 with values in the unit circle)\n\n - the 2d Co
 ulomb gas\n\n - the integer-valued Gaussian Free Field (or Z-ferromagnet)\
 n\n - Abelian lattice gauge theory on Z^4\n\nIn this talk\, I will explain
  a new technique to obtain quantitative lower bounds on the fluctuations i
 nduced by the topological defects (vortices) on such systems at low temper
 ature. We will see in particular that the fluctuations generated by the vo
 rtices are at least of the same order of magnitude as the ones produced by
  the so-called "spin-wave". Our approach is non-perturbative but it gives 
 matching lower bounds with the fluctuations predicted from RG analysis. I 
 will start the talk by giving an overview of the above models. The talk is
  based on joint works with Avelio Sepúlveda.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/26/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Hao Shen (Wisconsin)
DTSTART:20210212T173000Z
DTEND:20210212T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/27
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 27/">Stochastic quantization\, large N\, and mean field limit</a>\nby Hao 
 Shen (Wisconsin) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract
 \nWe study "large N problems” in quantum field theory using SPDE methods
  via stochastic quantization. In the SPDE setting this is formulated as me
 an field problems. We will consider the vector Phi^4 model (i.e. linear si
 gma model)\, whose stochastic quantization is a system of N coupled dynami
 cal Phi^4 SPDEs. We discuss a series of results. First\, in 2D\, we prove 
 mean field limit for these dynamics as N goes to infinity. We also show th
 at the quantum field theory converges to massive Gaussian free field in th
 is limit\, in both 2D and 3D. Moreover we prove exact formulae for some co
 rrelations of O(N)-invariant observables in the large N limit\; such formu
 lae were predicted using “bubble diagrams” in physics.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/27/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Alan Hammond (UC Berkeley)
DTSTART:20210312T173000Z
DTEND:20210312T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/29
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 29/">Stability and chaos in dynamical last passage percolation</a>\nby Ala
 n Hammond (UC Berkeley) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nA
 bstract\nMany complex statistical mechanical models have intricate energy 
 landscapes. The ground state\, or lowest energy state\, lies at the base o
 f the deepest valley. In examples such as spin glasses and Gaussian polyme
 rs\, there are many valleys\; the abundance of near-ground states (at the 
 base of valleys) indicates the phenomenon of chaos\, under which the groun
 d state alters profoundly when the model's disorder is slightly perturbed.
  Indeed\, a monograph of Sourav Chatterjee from 2014 establishes that\, fo
 r a class of models of Gaussian disorder\, this abundance of competing min
 imizers is accompanied both by a rapid outset of chaos under perturbation 
 of the system by noise\, and by the effect of  super-concentration\, in wh
 ich model statistics have lower variance than in classical scenarios\, for
  which a central limit theorem may apply.\n\nIn this talk\, a recent inves
 tigation\, jointly undertaken with Shirshendu Ganguly\, of a natural dynam
 ics for a model of planar last passage percolation will be discussed. Robu
 st probabilistic and geometric technique permits a very quantified analysi
 s of the presence of close rivals in energy to the ground state for the st
 atic version of the model\; consequently\, the order of the scale that her
 alds the transition from stability to chaos for the dynamical model is ide
 ntified. The tools that drive the investigation include harmonic analytic 
 technique present in Chatterjee's work\, and the use of Brownian Gibbs res
 ampling analysis for random ensembles of curves naturally associated to la
 st passage percolation via the Robinson-Schensted-Knuth correspondence.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/29/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Jan Maas (IST Austria)
DTSTART:20210319T163000Z
DTEND:20210319T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/30
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 30/">Homogenisation of discrete dynamical optimal transport</a>\nby Jan Ma
 as (IST Austria) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract
 \nMany stochastic systems can be viewed as gradient flow ('steepest descen
 t') in the space of probability measures\, where the driving functional is
  a relative entropy and the relevant geometry is described by a dynamical 
 optimal transport problem. In this talk we focus on these optimal transpor
 t problems and describe recent work on the limit passage from discrete to 
 continuous.\n\nSurprisingly\, it turns out that discrete transport metrics
  may fail to converge to the expected limit\, even when the associated gra
 dient flows converge. We will illustrate this phenomenon in examples and p
 resent a recent homogenisation result.\n\nThis talk is based on joint work
  with Peter Gladbach\, Eva Kopfer\, and Lorenzo Portinale.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/30/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Alexey Bufetov (Bonn)
DTSTART:20210219T173000Z
DTEND:20210219T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/31
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 31/">Cutoff profile of ASEP on a segment</a>\nby Alexey Bufetov (Bonn) as 
 part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe mixing behavio
 r of the Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process (=ASEP) on a segment will be 
 discussed. We will show that its cutoff profile is given by the Tracy-Wido
 m distribution function\, which extends earlier results of Labbe-Lacoin an
 d Benjamini-Berger-Hoffman-Mossel. We will also discuss a multi-species ve
 rsion of this model (also known as a biased card shuffling or an oriented 
 swap process). The talk is based on joint works with P. Nejjar and with V.
  Gorin\, D. Romik.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/31/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Eveliina Peltola (Bonn)
DTSTART:20210305T173000Z
DTEND:20210305T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/32
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 32/">On large deviations of SLEs\, real rational functions\, and zeta-regu
 larized determinants of Laplacians</a>\nby Eveliina Peltola (Bonn) as part
  of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe talk concerns a la
 rge deviation principle (LDP) for (multiple) Schramm-Loewner evolution (SL
 E) curves for the Hausdorff metric.\nWhen studying the LDP\, we introduced
  a ''Loewner potential'' that describes the rate function.\nThis object tu
 rned out to have several intrinsic\, and perhaps surprising\, connections 
 to various fields.\nFor instance\, it has a simple expression in terms of 
 zeta-regularized determinants of Laplace-Beltrami operators.\nOn the other
  hand\, minima of the Loewner potential solve a nonlinear first order PDE 
 that arises\nin a semiclassical limit of certain correlation functions in 
 conformal field theory (arguably also related to isomonodromic systems).\n
 Finally\, the Loewner potential minimizers classify rational functions wit
 h real critical points\, thereby providing a novel proof for\na version of
  the now well-known Shapiro-Shapiro conjecture in real enumerative geometr
 y. This talk is based on joint work with Yilin Wang (MIT).\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/32/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Thierry Bodineau (École Polytechnique)
DTSTART:20210409T163000Z
DTEND:20210409T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/33
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 33/">Fluctuating Boltzmann equation and large deviations for a hard sphere
  gas</a>\nby Thierry Bodineau (École Polytechnique) as part of Probabilit
 y and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nA gas dynamics can be modelled by a 
 billiard made of hard spheres\, moving according to the laws of classical 
 mechanics. Initially the spheres are randomly distributed according to a p
 robability measure which is then transported by the flow of the determinis
 tic dynamics. Since the seminal work of Lanford\, it is known in the kinet
 ic limit that the gas density converges towards the Boltzmann equation (at
  least for a short time). \n\nIn this talk\, we are going to discuss the f
 luctuations of the microscopic dynamics around the Boltzmann equation and 
 the convergence of the fluctuation field to the fluctuating Boltzmann equa
 tion. We will also show that the occurence of atypical evolutions can be q
 uantified by a large deviation principle. This analysis relies on the stud
 y of the correlations created by the Hamiltonian dynamics. We will see tha
 t the emergence of irreversibility in the kinetic limit can be related to 
 the singularity of these correlations.\n\nZoom meeting ID: 991 4448 8133\,
  password: 800920\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/33/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Omer Angel (UBC)
DTSTART:20210326T163000Z
DTEND:20210326T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/34
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 34/">A tale of two balloons</a>\nby Omer Angel (UBC) as part of Probabilit
 y and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe study the following process\, mot
 ivated by coalescing random\nwalks: From each point of a Poisson point pro
 cess start growing a\nballoon at rate 1. When two balloons touch\, they po
 p and disappear. We\nstudy this on various spaces and various starting sta
 tes. En route we\nfind a new(ish) 0-1 law\, and generalize bounds on indep
 endent sets that\nare factors of IID. Joint work with Gourab Ray and Yinon
  Spinka.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/34/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Duncan Dauvergne (Princeton)
DTSTART:20210226T173000Z
DTEND:20210226T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/35
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 35/">Learning from the directed landscape</a>\nby Duncan Dauvergne (Prince
 ton) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe direct
 ed landscape is a random `directed metric' on the \nspacetime plane that a
 rises as the scaling limit of integrable models \nof last passage percolat
 ion. It is expected to be the universal \nscaling limit for all models in 
 the KPZ universality class for random \ngrowth. In this talk\, I will desc
 ribe its construction in terms of the \nAiry line ensemble\, give an exten
 sion of this construction for optimal \nlength disjoint paths in the direc
 ted landscape\, and show how these \nconstructions reveal surprising Brown
 ian structures in the directed \nlandscape. Based on joint work with J. Or
 tmann\, B. Virag\, and L. Zhang.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/35/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Wei Wu (NYU Shanghai)
DTSTART:20210416T140000Z
DTEND:20210416T150000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/36
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 36/">Massless phases for the Villain model in d>=3</a>\nby Wei Wu (NYU Sha
 nghai) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe XY a
 nd the Villain models are mathematical idealization of real world models o
 f liquid crystal\, liquid helium\, and superconductors. Their phase transi
 tion has important applications in condensed  matter physics and led to th
 e Nobel Prize in Physics in 2016. However we are still far from a complete
  mathematical understanding of the transition. The spin wave conjecture\, 
 originally proposed by Dyson and by Mermin and Wagner\, predicts that at l
 ow temperature\, large scale behaviors of these models are closely related
  to Gaussian free fields. I will review the historical background and  dis
 cuss some recent progress on this conjecture in d>=3. Based on the joint w
 ork with Paul Dario (Tel Aviv).\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/36/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Evgeni Dimitrov (Columbia)
DTSTART:20210423T163000Z
DTEND:20210423T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/37
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 37/">Towards universality for Gibbsian line ensembles</a>\nby Evgeni Dimit
 rov (Columbia) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\n
 Gibbsian line ensembles are natural objects that arise in statistical mech
 anics models of random tilings\, directed polymers\, random plane partitio
 ns and avoiding random walks. In this talk I will discuss a general framew
 ork for establishing universal KPZ scaling limits for sequences of Gibbsia
 n line ensembles. This framework is still being developed and I will expla
 in some of the recent progress that has been made towards carrying it our 
 for two integrable models of random Hall-Littlewood plane partitions and l
 og-gamma polymers.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/37/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Konstantin Matetski (Columbia)
DTSTART:20210514T163000Z
DTEND:20210514T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/38
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 38/">Directed mean curvature flow in noisy environment</a>\nby Konstantin 
 Matetski (Columbia) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstr
 act\nWe consider the directed mean curvature flow evolving on the plane in
  a weak disordered Gaussian environment. A simpler version of the model is
  the quenched KPZ equation with a weak noise. We prove that\, when started
  from a sufficiently regular initial state\, a rescaled and renormalized c
 urve converges to the Cole–Hopf solution of the KPZ equation. This is a 
 joint work with A.Gerasimovičs and M. Hairer.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/38/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Giuseppe Cannizzaro (Warwick)
DTSTART:20210521T163000Z
DTEND:20210521T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/39
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 39/">Edwards-Wilkinson fluctuations for the Anisotropic KPZ in the weak co
 upling regime</a>\nby Giuseppe Cannizzaro (Warwick) as part of Probability
  and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nIn this talk\, we present recent resu
 lts on an anisotropic variant of the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation\, the An
 isotropic KPZ equation (AKPZ)\, in the critical spatial dimension d=2. Thi
 s is a singular SPDE which is conjectured to capture the behaviour of the 
 fluctuations of a large family of random surface growth phenomena but whos
 e analysis falls outside of the scope not only of classical stochastic cal
 culus but also of the theory of Regularity Structures and paracontrolled c
 alculus. We first prove the conjecture made in [Cannizzaro\, Erhard\, Toni
 nelli\, "The AKPZ equation at stationarity: logarithmic superdiffusivity"]
 \, i.e. we show that the nonlinearity causes a logarithmically superdiffus
 ive behaviour at large scales and more precisely that correlation length o
 f the solution grows like t1/2 (log t)1/4 up to lower order correction. Mo
 tivated by the previous\, we consider the AKPZ equation in the so-called w
 eak coupling regime\, i.e. the equation regularised at scale N and the coe
 fficient of the nonlinearity tuned down by a factor (log N)-1/2\, and prov
 e that\, for N going to infinity\, its solution converges to a linear stoc
 hastic heat equation with renormalised coefficients.\nThe talk is based on
  (ongoing) joint work with D. Erhard and F. Toninelli.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/39/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Yu Gu (Carnegie Mellon University)
DTSTART:20210430T163000Z
DTEND:20210430T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/40
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 40/">A CLT for KPZ on torus</a>\nby Yu Gu (Carnegie Mellon University) as 
 part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nI will present a j
 oint work with Tomasz Komorowski on proving Gaussian fluctuations for the 
 KPZ equation on the torus.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/40/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Ramon van Handel (Princeton)
DTSTART:20210917T163000Z
DTEND:20210917T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/41
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 41/">Sharp matrix concentration inequalities</a>\nby Ramon van Handel (Pri
 nceton) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWhat do
 es the spectrum of a random matrix look like when we make no\nassumption w
 hatsoever about the covariance pattern of its entries?  It may\nappear hop
 eless that anything useful can be said at this level of\ngenerality. Nonet
 heless\, a set of tools known as "matrix concentration\ninequalities" make
 s it possible to estimate at least the spectral norm of\nvery general rand
 om matrices up to logarithmic factors in the dimension.\nOn the other hand
 \, it is well known that these inequalities fail to yield\nsharp results f
 or even the simplest random matrix models.\n\nIn this talk I will describe
  a powerful new class of matrix concentration\ninequalities that achieve o
 ptimal results in many situations that are\noutside the reach of classical
  methods. Our results are easily applicable\nin concrete examples\, and yi
 eld detailed nonasymptotic information on the\nfull spectrum of essentiall
 y arbitrarily structured random matrices. These\nnew inequalities arise fr
 om an unexpected phenomenon: the spectrum of\nrandom matrices is accuratel
 y captured by certain predictions of free\nprobability theory under surpri
 singly minimal assumptions. Our proofs\nquantify the notion that it costs 
 little to be free.\n\nThe talk is based on joint works with Afonso Bandeir
 a and March\nBoedihardjo\, and with Tatiana Brailovskaya. No prior backgro
 und will be\nassumed.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/41/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Sourav Chatterjee (Stanford)
DTSTART:20211001T163000Z
DTEND:20211001T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/42
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 42/">Local KPZ behavior under arbitrary scaling limits</a>\nby Sourav Chat
 terjee (Stanford) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstrac
 t\nOne of the main difficulties in proving convergence of discrete models 
 of surface growth to the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation in dimensions 
 higher than one is that the correct way to take a scaling limit\, so that 
 the limit is nontrivial\, is not known in a rigorous sense. The same probl
 em has so far prevented the construction of nontrivial solutions of the KP
 Z equation in dimensions higher than one. To understand KPZ growth without
  being hindered by this issue\, I will introduce a new concept in this tal
 k\, called "local KPZ behavior"\, which roughly means that the instantaneo
 us growth of the surface at a point decomposes into the sum of a Laplacian
  term\, a gradient squared term\, a noise term\, and a remainder term that
  is negligible compared to the other three terms and their sum. The main r
 esult is that for a general class of surfaces\, which contains the model o
 f directed polymers in a random environment as a special case\, local KPZ 
 behavior occurs under arbitrary scaling limits\, in any dimension.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/42/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Titus Lupu (CNRS and Sorbonne Université)
DTSTART:20210924T163000Z
DTEND:20210924T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/43
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 43/">Multiplicative chaos of the 2D Brownian loop soup</a>\nby Titus Lupu 
 (CNRS and Sorbonne Université) as part of Probability and the City Semina
 r\n\n\nAbstract\nIt is known from the works in Mathematical Physics that t
 he continuum Gaussian free field (GFF) admits representations in terms of 
 occupation measures of Brownian trajectories. In particular\, the square o
 f the GFF (suitably renormalized) has the same distribution as the occupat
 ion measure of a Poisson point process of Brownian loops\, known as the Br
 ownian loop soup. This is the Le Jan's isomorphism theorem. The Brownian l
 oop soups come with an intensity parameter $\\theta >0$\, and the connecti
 on to the GFF is for the particular parameter $\\theta=1/2$. In our work w
 e related the theory of the Gaussian Multiplicative Chaos (GMC) in 2D (ren
 ormalized exponential of the 2D continuum GFF\, also appearing in Liouvill
 e field theory) to the 2D Brownian loop soup. Actually we constructed a so
  called multiplicative chaos of the Brownian loop soup for every intensity
  parameter $\\theta$. Compared to the multiplicative chaos of a single 2D 
 Brownian trajectory\, which has been first constructed by Bass\, Burdzy an
 d Khoshnevisan in the 90s\, in our work we require an additional layer of 
 renormalization due to ultraviolet divergence in the Brownian loop soup. F
 or the particular parameter $\\theta=1/2$\, our multiplicative chaos of th
 e Brownian loop soup has the same distribution as the renormalized hyperbo
 lic cosine of the GFF\, i.e. is a sum of two GMCs. For other intensity par
 ameters $\\theta$ we obtain new non-Gaussian multiplicative chaoses\, whic
 h satisfy moreover a covariance property under conformal transformations o
 f the domain. This is joint work with Elie Aïdekon (Sorbonne Université/
 Fudan University)\, Nathanael Berestycki (University of Vienna) and Antoin
 e Jégo (University of Vienna).\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/43/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Arjun Krishnan (Rochester)
DTSTART:20211015T163000Z
DTEND:20211015T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/44
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 44/">Correlations of Busemann functions and the 2nd KPZ relationship</a>\n
 by Arjun Krishnan (Rochester) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\
 n\n\nAbstract\nBusemann functions (correctors in homogenization theory) ar
 e objects of interest in first- and last-passage percolation. Determining 
 the correlations of Busemann function increments is important because of i
 ts relationship to the second KPZ relationship that relates the two fluctu
 ation exponents in the models. We show that the correlations of adjacent B
 usemann increments in last-passage percolation with general weights are di
 rectly related to the time-constant of last-passage percolation with expon
 ential weights (an integrable model). Using this relationship\, we give an
  easily checkable condition that determines when adjacent Busemann increme
 nts are negatively correlated\, and prove that\, for example\, last-passag
 e percolation with iid Bernoulli weights has negatively correlated adjacen
 t Busemann increments.\n\nJoint work with I. Alevy\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/44/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Morris Ang (MIT)
DTSTART:20211105T163000Z
DTEND:20211105T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/45
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 45/">Integrability of the conformal loop ensemble</a>\nby Morris Ang (MIT)
  as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nFor 8/3 < κ <
  8\, the conformal loop ensemble CLEκ is a canonical random ensemble of l
 oops which is conformally invariant in law\, and whose loops locally look 
 like Schramm-Loewner evolution with parameter κ. It describes the scaling
  limits of the Ising model\, percolation\, and other models. When κ ≤ 4
  the loops are simple curves. In this regime we compute the three-point ne
 sting statistic of CLEκ on the sphere\, and show it agrees with the imagi
 nary DOZZ formula of Zamolodchikov (2005).  We also obtain the expression 
 of the (properly normalized) probability that three points are on the same
  CLE loop in terms of the DOZZ formula. The analogous quantity for three p
 oints on the same cluster was previously conjectured by Delfino and Viti. 
 To our best knowledge our formula has not been predicted in the physics li
 terature.  Our arguments depend on couplings of CLE with Liouville quantum
  gravity and the integrability of Liouville conformal field theory. Based 
 on joint work with Xin Sun.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/45/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Alberto Chiarini (Eindhoven University of Technology)
DTSTART:20211112T173000Z
DTEND:20211112T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/46
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 46/">Disconnection and entropic repulsion for the harmonic crystal with ra
 ndom conductances</a>\nby Alberto Chiarini (Eindhoven University of Techno
 logy) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe study 
 level-set percolation of the discrete Gaussian free field on the Euclidean
  lattice in three and more dimensions\, equipped with uniformly elliptic r
 andom conductances. We prove that this percolation model undergoes a non-t
 rivial phase transition at a deterministic level. For a compact set A in \
 \mathbb{R}^d\, we study the disconnection event that the level-set of the 
 field below a given level disconnects the discrete blow-up of A from the b
 oundary of an enclosing box\, in a strongly percolative regime. We present
  quenched asymptotic upper and lower bounds on this probability in terms o
 f the homogenized capacity of A. The upper and lower bounds concerning dis
 connection that we derive are plausibly matching at leading order. In this
  case\, this work shows that conditioning on disconnection leads to an ent
 ropic push-down of the field. (Based on a joint work with M. Nitzschner NY
 U Courant)\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/46/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Lingfu Zhang (Princeton)
DTSTART:20211029T163000Z
DTEND:20211029T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/47
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 47/">The environment seen from a geodesic in last-passage percolation</a>\
 nby Lingfu Zhang (Princeton) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n
 \n\nAbstract\nIn exponential directed last-passage percolation\, each vert
 ex in Z^2 is assigned an i.i.d. exponential weight\, and the geodesic betw
 een a pair of vertices refers to the up-right path connecting them\, with 
 the maximum total weight along the path. It is a natural question to ask w
 hat a geodesic looks like locally\, and how weights on and nearby the geod
 esic behave. In this talk\, I will present some new results on this. We sh
 ow convergence of the distribution of the ‘environment’ as seen from a
  typical point along the geodesic\, and convergence of the corresponding e
 mpirical measure\, as the geodesic length goes to infinity. In addition\, 
 we obtain an explicit description of the limiting environment\, which depe
 nds on the direction of the geodesic. This in principle enables one to com
 pute all the local statistics of the geodesic\, and I will talk about some
  surprising and interesting examples. This is based on joint work with Jam
 es Martin and Allan Sly.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/47/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Firas Rassoul-Agha (Utah)
DTSTART:20211210T173000Z
DTEND:20211210T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/48
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 48/">Geodesic Length in First-Passage Percolation</a>\nby Firas Rassoul-Ag
 ha (Utah) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe st
 udy first-passage percolation through related optimization problems over p
 aths of restricted length. The path length variable is in duality with a s
 hift of the weights. This puts into a convex duality framework old observa
 tions about the convergence of the normalized Euclidean length of geodesic
 s due to Hammersley and Welsh\, Smythe and Wierman\, and Kesten\, and lead
 s to new results about geodesic length and the regularity of the shape fun
 ction as a function of the weight shift. For points far enough away from t
 he origin\, the ratio of the geodesic length and the $\\ell^1$ distance to
  the endpoint is uniformly bounded away from one. The shape function is a 
 strictly concave function of the weight shift. Atoms of the weight distrib
 ution generate singularities\, that is\, points of nondifferentiability\, 
 in this function. We generalize to all distributions\, directions and dime
 nsions an old singularity result of Steele and Zhang for the planar Bernou
 lli case. When the weight distribution has two or more atoms\, a dense set
  of shifts produce singularities. The results come from a combination of t
 he convex duality\, the shape theorems of the different first-passage opti
 mization problems\, and modification arguments. This is joint work with Ar
 jun Krishnan and Timo Seppalainen.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/48/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Milind Hegde (UC Berkeley)
DTSTART:20211008T163000Z
DTEND:20211008T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/49
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 49/">Brownianity in KPZ</a>\nby Milind Hegde (UC Berkeley) as part of Prob
 ability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe KPZ universality class is 
 believed to contain a very broad collection of models of stochastic growth
 . A theme in KPZ that has developed a great deal over the last 15 years\, 
 and particularly in recent years\, is the presence of Brownian behaviour--
 -the classical kind of universality---in many natural objects. In this tal
 k I will survey some of the results in the zero-temperature setting---conc
 erning objects such as last passage percolation\, the Airy_2 process\, and
  the KPZ fixed point---focusing on recent advances in obtaining and applyi
 ng quantitative process-level Brownian comparisons of the Airy_2 process\,
  as well as connections to the behaviour of geodesics in last passage perc
 olation. Based on joint work with Jacob Calvert\, Ivan Corwin\, Alan Hammo
 nd\, and Konstantin Matetski.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/49/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Kevin Yang (Stanford)
DTSTART:20211203T173000Z
DTEND:20211203T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/50
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 50/">KPZ and Boltzmann-Gibbs</a>\nby Kevin Yang (Stanford) as part of Prob
 ability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe KPZ equation is a stochast
 ic PDE whose derivative conjecturally provides a universal model for "hydr
 odynamic fluctuations". This is one version of the weak KPZ universality c
 onjecture\, which has drawn significant attention in the past few decades.
  We will discuss recent work on this conjecture for hydrodynamic limit flu
 ctuations of general interacting particle systems. The key ingredient is a
  Boltzmann-Gibbs principle for general systems\, whose applications beyond
  KPZ and whose potential refinements will both be discussed as well.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/50/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Colin McSwiggen (NYU)
DTSTART:20211022T163000Z
DTEND:20211022T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/51
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 51/">Random matrix models arising from projections of orbital measures</a>
 \nby Colin McSwiggen (NYU) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n
 \nAbstract\nA number of widely studied random matrix models can be realize
 d as projections of invariant measures on group orbits.  Examples include 
 the randomized Horn's problem\, the randomized Schur's problem\, and the o
 rbital corners process.  In this talk we will introduce a general framewor
 k that unifies these models in the case of coadjoint orbits of a compact L
 ie group.  We will present both recent and classical results that hold in 
 this general setting\, and we will discuss applications to combinatorial r
 epresentation theory and quantum information theory.  The talk will be acc
 essible to probabilists without a background in Lie theory or representati
 on theory.  Results presented will include joint work with Jean-Bernard Zu
 ber\, Robert Coquereaux\, and Benoît Collins.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/51/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Jeff Kahn (Rutgers)
DTSTART:20220304T173000Z
DTEND:20220304T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/52
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 52/">Linear cover time is exponentially unlikely</a>\nby Jeff Kahn (Rutger
 s) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nProving a 20
 09 conjecture of Itai Benjamini\, we show:\n\nFor any $C$ there is $c > 0$
  so that for any simple random walk on an $n$-vertex graph $G$\, the proba
 bility that the first $Cn$ steps of the walk see every vertex is less than
  $\\exp[-cn]$.\n\nA first ingredient in the proof of this is a similar sta
 tement for Markov chains in which all transition probabilities are less th
 an a suitable function of $C$.\n\nJoint with Quentin Dubroff.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/52/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Emma Bailey (CUNY)
DTSTART:20220128T173000Z
DTEND:20220128T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/53
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 53/">Large deviations of Selberg’s central limit theorem\, and random ma
 trix theory connections</a>\nby Emma Bailey (CUNY) as part of Probability 
 and the City Seminar\n\nAbstract: TBA\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/53/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Leonid Koralov (Maryland)
DTSTART:20220204T173000Z
DTEND:20220204T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/54
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 54/">Perturbations of Parabolic Equations and Diffusion Processes with Deg
 eneration: Boundary Problems and Metastability</a>\nby Leonid Koralov (Mar
 yland) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe study
  diffusion processes in a bounded domain with absorbing or reflecting boun
 dary. The generator of the process is assumed to contain two terms: the ma
 in term that degenerates on the boundary in a direction orthogonal to the 
 boundary and a small non-degenerate perturbation. Understanding the behavi
 or of such processes allows us to study the stabilization of solutions to 
 the corresponding parabolic equations with a small parameter. Metastabilit
 y effects arise in this case: the asymptotics of solutions\, as the size o
 f the perturbation tends to zero\, depends on the time scale. Initial-boun
 dary value problems with both the Dirichet and the Neumann boundary condit
 ions will be considered. The talk is based on joint work with M. Freidlin.
 \n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/54/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Maximilian Nitzscher (NYU Courant)
DTSTART:20220211T173000Z
DTEND:20220211T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/55
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 55/">Phase transition for level-set percolation of the membrane model</a>\
 nby Maximilian Nitzscher (NYU Courant) as part of Probability and the City
  Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe consider level-set percolation for the Gaussian
  membrane model on the integer lattice in dimensions five and higher\, and
  establish that as h varies\, a non-trivial percolation phase transition f
 or the level-set above level h occurs at some finite critical level\, whic
 h we show to be positive in high dimensions. Moreover\, we demonstrate the
  existence of a strongly subcritical phase\, in which we provide bounds fo
 r the connectivity function of the level-set above h\, and a strongly supe
 rcritical phase\, in which we characterize the geometry of the level-set a
 bove level h. As a main tool\, we present novel decoupling inequalities fo
 r the membrane model\, which are instrumental in the study of both the sub
 critical and supercritical phases of its level-sets. This talk is based on
  joint work with Alberto Chiarini.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/55/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Julien Berestycki (Oxford)
DTSTART:20220218T173000Z
DTEND:20220218T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/56
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 56/">The extremal point process of branching Brownian motion in $\\R^d$</a
 >\nby Julien Berestycki (Oxford) as part of Probability and the City Semin
 ar\n\n\nAbstract\nConsider a branching Brownian motion in $\\R^d$ with $d 
 \\geq 1$. Where are the particles that have traveled the furthest away fro
 m the origin (at a large time $t$)? If one conditions by what happened ear
 ly on in the process\, in which direction are we likely to fond the furthe
 st particle? Can one describe the structure of the extremal point process 
 at large times? Those questions were already well understood for the case 
 $d=1$. IN this talk I will present some recent results concerning the mult
 idimensional case.\nBased on a joint work with Yujin H. Kim\, Eyal Lubetzk
 y\, Bastien Mallein\, Ofer Zeitouni.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/56/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Tom Hutchcroft (Caltech)
DTSTART:20220225T173000Z
DTEND:20220225T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/57
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 57/">Critical percolation on the hierarchical lattice</a>\nby Tom Hutchcro
 ft (Caltech) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe
  consider long-range percolation on the hierarchical lattice\, a highly sy
 mmetric ultrametric space that serves as a toy model for the Euclidean lat
 tice Z^d. We will outline how to prove up-to-constants estimates on point-
 to-point connection probabilities for the model at criticality and outline
  several open problems regarding further critical exponents for the model.
 \n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/57/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Nadia Sidorova (University College London)
DTSTART:20220311T173000Z
DTEND:20220311T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/58
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 58/">Localisation and delocalisation in the parabolic Anderson model</a>\n
 by Nadia Sidorova (University College London) as part of Probability and t
 he City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nThe parabolic Anderson problem is the Cauch
 y problem for the heat equation on the integer lattice with random potenti
 al. It describes the mean-field behaviour of a continuous-time branching r
 andom walk. It is well-known that\, unlike the standard heat equation\, th
 e solution of the parabolic Anderson model exhibits strong localisation. I
 n particular\, for a wide class of iid potentials it is localised at just 
 one point. However\, in a partially symmetric parabolic Anderson model\, t
 he one-point localisation breaks down for heavy-tailed potentials and rema
 ins unchanged for light-tailed potentials\, exhibiting a range of phase tr
 ansitions.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/58/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Pierre-François Rodriguez (Imperial College London)
DTSTART:20220325T163000Z
DTEND:20220325T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/59
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 59/">Critical exponents for three-dimensional percolation models with long
 -range dependence</a>\nby Pierre-François Rodriguez (Imperial College Lon
 don) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nWe will re
 port on recent progress regarding the near-critical behavior of certain st
 atistical mechanics models in dimension three. Our results deal with the p
 hase transition associated to two percolation problems involving the Gauss
 ian free field (GFF) in 3D. In one case\, they determine a unique “fixed
  point” corresponding to the transition\, which is proved to obey Fisher
 ’s scaling law. This is one of several relations classically conjectured
  by physicists to hold on the grounds of a corresponding scaling ansatz.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/59/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Roger Van Peski (MIT)
DTSTART:20220401T163000Z
DTEND:20220401T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/60
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 60/">p-adic random matrices and particle systems</a>\nby Roger Van Peski (
 MIT) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract\nRandom p-a
 dic matrices have been studied since the late 1980s as natural models for 
 random groups appearing in number theory and combinatorics. Recently it ha
 s also become clear that the theory has close structural parallels with si
 ngular values of complex random matrices\, bringing new techniques from in
 tegrable probability and motivating new questions. After outlining this ar
 ea (no background in p-adic matrices will be assumed)\, I will discuss res
 ults on the distribution of analogues of singular values for products of m
 any random p-adic matrices. Both prelimit and limit objects exhibit much m
 ore spatial independence than their analogues for complex matrices\, often
  with surprising results. In different regimes we can prove Gaussian limit
 s\, an intriguing new discrete Poisson-type local limit (yielding a local 
 interacting particle system on $\\mathbb{Z}$ similar to $q$-TASEP)\, and c
 onvergence of global bulk fluctuations to a certain explicit Gaussian proc
 ess.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/60/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Justin Salez (Université Paris-Dauphine & PSL)
DTSTART:20220408T163000Z
DTEND:20220408T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/61
DESCRIPTION:by Justin Salez (Université Paris-Dauphine & PSL) as part of 
 Probability and the City Seminar\n\nAbstract: TBA\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/61/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Alex Dunlap (NYU Courant)
DTSTART:20220415T163000Z
DTEND:20220415T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/62
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 62/">Nonlinear weak-noise stochastic heat equations in two dimensions</a>\
 nby Alex Dunlap (NYU Courant) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\
 n\n\nAbstract\nI will discuss a two-dimensional stochastic heat equation i
 n the weak noise regime with a nonlinear noise strength. I will explain ho
 w pointwise statistics of solutions to this equation\, as the correlation 
 length of the noise is taken to 0 but the noise is attenuated by a logarit
 hmic factor\, can be related to a forward-backward stochastic differential
  equation (FBSDE) depending on the nonlinearity. I will also discuss two c
 ases in which the FBSDE can be explicitly solved: the linear stochastic he
 at equation\, for which we recover the log-normal behavior proved by Carav
 enna\, Sun\, and Zygouras\, and branching Brownian motion/super-Brownian m
 otion\, for which we obtain a solution to the Feller diffusion. This talk 
 will be based on joint work with Yu Gu and with Cole Graham.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/62/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Hubert Lacoin (IMPA)
DTSTART:20220422T163000Z
DTEND:20220422T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/63
DESCRIPTION:by Hubert Lacoin (IMPA) as part of Probability and the City Se
 minar\n\nAbstract: TBA\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/63/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Vincent Tassion (ETH Zurich)
DTSTART:20220429T163000Z
DTEND:20220429T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/64
DESCRIPTION:by Vincent Tassion (ETH Zurich) as part of Probability and the
  City Seminar\n\nAbstract: TBA\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/64/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Sayan Das (Columbia)
DTSTART:20220506T163000Z
DTEND:20220506T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260404T095118Z
UID:PatC/65
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/
 65/">Path properties of the KPZ Equation and related polymers</a>\nby Saya
 n Das (Columbia) as part of Probability and the City Seminar\n\n\nAbstract
 \nThe KPZ equation is a fundamental stochastic PDE that can be viewed as t
 he log-partition function of continuum directed random polymer (CDRP). In 
 this talk\, we will first focus on the fractal properties of the tall peak
 s of the KPZ equation. This is based on separate joint works with Li-Cheng
  Tsai and Promit Ghosal. In the second part of the talk\, we will study th
 e KPZ equation through the lens of polymers. In particular\, we will discu
 ss localization aspects of CDRP that will shed light on certain properties
  of the KPZ equation such as ergodicity and limiting Bessel behaviors arou
 nd the maximum. This is based on joint work with Weitao Zhu.\n
LOCATION:https://stable.researchseminars.org/talk/PatC/65/
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR
